The 74% Consensus: When Prediction Markets Converge, What Are They Really Saying?
Three prediction markets. Three different architectures. One number: 74%....
DeFi
•
Samtoshi
•
2026-08-18
Market Prices
| Coin | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
|
BTC
Bitcoin
|
$78,142 | +0.69% |
|
ETH
Ethereum
|
$2,456.65 | +0.76% |
|
SOL
Solana
|
$105.04 | +1.37% |
|
BNB
BNB Chain
|
$693.8 | +0.59% |
|
XRP
XRP Ledger
|
$1.39 | +0.83% |
|
DOGE
Dogecoin
|
$0.0851 | +0.05% |
|
ADA
Cardano
|
$0.2009 | -0.05% |
|
AVAX
Avalanche
|
$7.3 | +0.21% |
|
DOT
Polkadot
|
$0.8391 | -0.45% |
|
LINK
Chainlink
|
$11.4 | +0.34% |
Fear & Greed
69
Greed
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202608
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Altseason Index
41
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Tag Cloud
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$78,142
1
Ethereum
ETH
$2,456.65
1
Solana
SOL
$105.04
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$693.8
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.39
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0851
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.2009
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$7.3
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.8391
1
Chainlink
LINK
$11.4
🐋 Whale Tracker
🟢
0x7703...19c4
3h ago
In
4,176 ETH
🟢
0x6625...3220
12h ago
In
12,781 BNB
🟢
0xeecc...9359
3h ago
In
1,869,358 USDT
💡 Smart Money
0x1d64...5018
Arbitrage Bot
+$3.9M
84%
0xba46...ac57
Market Maker
+$3.5M
91%
0x2a29...4361
Experienced On-chain Trader
+$1.7M
87%
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